Religion and Politics Survey, 1996

Data Archive > U.S. Surveys > General Population > National > Pew Research Center > Analysis


CRTNVT96

(Percentages are weighted by WEIGHT; Total Ns reported are unweighted)

ASKED ONLY OF THOSE RESPONDENTS WHO PLAN TO VOTE IN THE ELECTION THIS NOVEMBER: How certain are you that you will vote? Are you absolutely certain, fairly certain, or not certain?
  1) Absolutely certain
  2) Fairly certain
  3) Not certain
  4) Don't know/Refused

Category Percentage Cumulative Percentage
Absolutely certain 81.2% 81.2%
Fairly certain 16.5% 97.7%
Not certain 1.7% 99.4%
Don't know/Refused .6% 100%
Total N = 1762

Variable Comparisons

Sex (I-SEX)

Male Female TOTAL
Absolutely certain 80.4% 81.8% 81.2%
Fairly certain 17.9% 15.2% 16.5%
Not certain 1.2% 2.2% 1.7%
Don't know/Refused 0.5% 0.8% 0.6%
TOTAL 100.0% 100.0%
1762


Political party (I-POLPARTY)

Republican Democrat Independent TOTAL
Absolutely certain 87.0% 84.2% 71.7% 81.0%
Fairly certain 11.1% 13.6% 25.1% 16.5%
Not certain 1.1% 1.7% 2.6% 1.8%
Don't know/Refused 0.8% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6%
TOTAL 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
1718


Age (I-AGE)

18 - 29 years 30 - 49 years 50 and older TOTAL
Absolutely certain 66.1% 83.0% 88.4% 81.2%
Fairly certain 31.0% 15.7% 8.6% 16.5%
Not certain 2.9% 1.0% 1.9% 1.7%
Don't know/Refused 0.0% 0.3% 1.2% 0.6%
TOTAL 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
1738


Marital status (I-MARITAL)

Married Divorced or separated Widowed Never been married TOTAL
Absolutely certain 84.4% 78.4% 87.7% 72.1% 81.1%
Fairly certain 13.6% 20.0% 6.7% 25.3% 16.5%
Not certain 1.4% 1.0% 4.0% 2.2% 1.7%
Don't know/Refused 0.6% 0.6% 1.7% 0.4% 0.6%
TOTAL 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
1758


Education (I-EDUCATN)

Less than High school High school graduate (Grade 12 or GED certificate) Some College (no 4-year degree)/Business, technical, or vocational school AFTER high school College graduate (B.S., B.A., or other 4-year degree) Post-graduate training or professional schooling after college (e.g., toward a master's Degree or Ph.D.; law or medical school) TOTAL
Absolutely certain 73.2% 76.3% 84.2% 85.8% 92.4% 81.1%
Fairly certain 19.8% 21.7% 14.2% 13.2% 6.6% 16.5%
Not certain 5.0% 1.6% 1.0% 1.0% 0.5% 1.7%
Don't know/Refused 2.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.0% 0.5% 0.6%
TOTAL 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
1757


Race (I-RACE)

White Black Asian, other or mixed race TOTAL
Absolutely certain 82.0% 82.0% 64.3% 81.2%
Fairly certain 16.1% 15.1% 28.0% 16.5%
Not certain 1.3% 3.0% 7.6% 1.7%
Don't know/Refused 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.6%
TOTAL 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
1749


Household income (I-INCOME)

Less than 20K 20K-39,999 40K-74,999 75K & over TOTAL
Absolutely certain 69.6% 80.0% 87.4% 90.4% 81.3%
Fairly certain 25.9% 18.6% 11.8% 7.7% 16.8%
Not certain 3.4% 1.0% 0.8% 1.3% 1.5%
Don't know/Refused 1.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.7% 0.5%
TOTAL 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
1570


Region (I-REGION)

East Midwest South West TOTAL
Absolutely certain 83.6% 77.9% 82.2% 81.1% 81.2%
Fairly certain 16.0% 20.2% 14.0% 16.6% 16.5%
Not certain 0.4% 1.0% 3.1% 1.8% 1.7%
Don't know/Refused 0.0% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5% 0.6%
TOTAL 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
1762



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