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News Interest Index, March 2004 - Analysis

CHABUSH (Weighted by WEIGHT)

[ASK IF VOTENOW2=2 OR VOTENOW3=2 OR LEANNOW2=2, 3, 9 OR LEANNOW3=2, 3, 9] Do you think there is a chance that you might vote for George W. Bush in November, or have you definitely decided not to vote for him?
 PercentCumulative Percent
1) Chance might vote for him19.7%19.7%
2) Decided not to vote for him74.5%94.2%
9) Don't know/Refused5.8%100.0%
Missing734
Total Unweighted N = 969





Political party (I-PARTYID)

 RepublicanDemocratIndependentMissingTotal
Chance might vote for him41.7%14.9%23.7%1020.1%
Decided not to vote for him45.5%82.5%70.1%4075.3%
Don't know/Refused12.9%2.6%6.3%164.7%
Missing4216721280034
Total 100% 100% 100%  
Total Unweighted N = 903

Worship attendance (I-ATTEND)

 More than once a weekOnce a weekOnce or twice a monthA few times a yearSeldomNeverMissingTotal
Chance might vote for him18.6%27.6%19.6%18.3%16.8%13.5%319.7%
Decided not to vote for him77.4%68.4%76.7%73.9%76.1%79.7%874.6%
Don't know/Refused4.0%4.0%3.7%7.8%7.1%6.8%15.7%
Missing1452189213292517464
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%  
Total Unweighted N = 957

Age (I-AGE)

 18-2425-3435-4445-5455-6465+MissingTotal
Chance might vote for him19.5%21.7%20.7%20.1%17.6%17.2%319.6%
Decided not to vote for him74.6%72.8%73.4%73.8%74.7%79.6%874.7%
Don't know/Refused5.9%5.4%6.0%6.1%7.7%3.2%25.6%
Missing581011431561251447477
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%  
Total Unweighted N = 956

Education (I-EDUC)

 Less than high schoolHigh school graduateSome collegeCollege+MissingTotal
Chance might vote for him21.0%19.4%16.7%22.0%019.8%
Decided not to vote for him71.5%72.5%80.4%74.5%274.6%
Don't know/Refused7.5%8.2%2.9%3.5%15.7%
Missing492431972447371
Total 100% 100% 100% 100%  
Total Unweighted N = 966

Household income (I-INCOME)

 Less than $20,000$20,000 to under $30,000$30,000 to under $50,000$50,000 to under $75,000$75,000 to under $100,000$100,000 or moreMissingTotal
Chance might vote for him15.6%18.7%21.9%26.1%19.3%19.5%2419.9%
Decided not to vote for him76.8%76.4%74.4%69.7%77.0%76.2%9175.1%
Don't know/Refused7.6%4.9%3.7%4.2%3.7%4.3%125.0%
Missing9584168120829786188
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%  
Total Unweighted N = 842

Race (I-RACE)

 White, not HispanicBlack, not HispanicHispanic/OtherMissingTotal
Chance might vote for him21.0%15.8%19.1%119.8%
Decided not to vote for him72.5%83.0%74.2%574.6%
Don't know/Refused6.5%1.3%6.6%25.6%
Missing65222597421
Total 100% 100% 100%  
Total Unweighted N = 961

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