News Interest Index, March 2004 - Analysis
CHABUSH (Weighted by WEIGHT)
[ASK IF VOTENOW2=2 OR VOTENOW3=2 OR LEANNOW2=2, 3, 9 OR LEANNOW3=2, 3, 9] Do you think there is a chance that you might vote for George W. Bush in November, or have you definitely decided not to vote for him?
Percent | Cumulative Percent | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
1) Chance might vote for him | 19.7% | 19.7% | ||
2) Decided not to vote for him | 74.5% | 94.2% | ||
9) Don't know/Refused | 5.8% | 100.0% | ||
Missing | 734 | |||
Total Unweighted N = 969 |
Political party (I-PARTYID)
Republican | Democrat | Independent | Missing | Total | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chance might vote for him | 41.7% | 14.9% | 23.7% | 10 | 20.1% |
Decided not to vote for him | 45.5% | 82.5% | 70.1% | 40 | 75.3% |
Don't know/Refused | 12.9% | 2.6% | 6.3% | 16 | 4.7% |
Missing | 421 | 67 | 212 | 800 | 34 |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Worship attendance (I-ATTEND)
More than once a week | Once a week | Once or twice a month | A few times a year | Seldom | Never | Missing | Total | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chance might vote for him | 18.6% | 27.6% | 19.6% | 18.3% | 16.8% | 13.5% | 3 | 19.7% |
Decided not to vote for him | 77.4% | 68.4% | 76.7% | 73.9% | 76.1% | 79.7% | 8 | 74.6% |
Don't know/Refused | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 1 | 5.7% |
Missing | 145 | 218 | 92 | 132 | 92 | 51 | 746 | 4 |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Age (I-AGE)
18-24 | 25-34 | 35-44 | 45-54 | 55-64 | 65+ | Missing | Total | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chance might vote for him | 19.5% | 21.7% | 20.7% | 20.1% | 17.6% | 17.2% | 3 | 19.6% |
Decided not to vote for him | 74.6% | 72.8% | 73.4% | 73.8% | 74.7% | 79.6% | 8 | 74.7% |
Don't know/Refused | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 3.2% | 2 | 5.6% |
Missing | 58 | 101 | 143 | 156 | 125 | 144 | 747 | 7 |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Education (I-EDUC)
Less than high school | High school graduate | Some college | College+ | Missing | Total | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chance might vote for him | 21.0% | 19.4% | 16.7% | 22.0% | 0 | 19.8% |
Decided not to vote for him | 71.5% | 72.5% | 80.4% | 74.5% | 2 | 74.6% |
Don't know/Refused | 7.5% | 8.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 1 | 5.7% |
Missing | 49 | 243 | 197 | 244 | 737 | 1 |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Household income (I-INCOME)
Less than $20,000 | $20,000 to under $30,000 | $30,000 to under $50,000 | $50,000 to under $75,000 | $75,000 to under $100,000 | $100,000 or more | Missing | Total | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chance might vote for him | 15.6% | 18.7% | 21.9% | 26.1% | 19.3% | 19.5% | 24 | 19.9% |
Decided not to vote for him | 76.8% | 76.4% | 74.4% | 69.7% | 77.0% | 76.2% | 91 | 75.1% |
Don't know/Refused | 7.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 12 | 5.0% |
Missing | 95 | 84 | 168 | 120 | 82 | 97 | 861 | 88 |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Race (I-RACE)
White, not Hispanic | Black, not Hispanic | Hispanic/Other | Missing | Total | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chance might vote for him | 21.0% | 15.8% | 19.1% | 1 | 19.8% |
Decided not to vote for him | 72.5% | 83.0% | 74.2% | 5 | 74.6% |
Don't know/Refused | 6.5% | 1.3% | 6.6% | 2 | 5.6% |
Missing | 652 | 22 | 59 | 742 | 1 |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% |