News Interest Index, March 2004 - Analysis
CHAKERRY (Weighted by WEIGHT)
[ASK IF VOTENOW2=1 OR VOTENOW3=1 OR LEANNOW2=1, 3, 9 OR LEANNOW3=1, 3, 9] Do you think there is a chance that you might vote for John Kerry in November, or have you definitely decided not to vote for him?
Percent | Cumulative Percent | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
1) Chance might vote for him | 27.2% | 27.2% | ||
2) Decided not to vote for him | 64.6% | 91.8% | ||
9) Don't know/Refused | 8.2% | 100.0% | ||
Missing | 866 | |||
Total Unweighted N = 837 |
Political party (I-PARTYID)
Republican | Democrat | Independent | Missing | Total | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chance might vote for him | 19.1% | 39.8% | 38.2% | 9 | 28.1% |
Decided not to vote for him | 77.8% | 45.0% | 54.6% | 31 | 66.0% |
Don't know/Refused | 3.1% | 15.2% | 7.2% | 21 | 5.9% |
Missing | 51 | 492 | 284 | 927 | 39 |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Worship attendance (I-ATTEND)
More than once a week | Once a week | Once or twice a month | A few times a year | Seldom | Never | Missing | Total | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chance might vote for him | 18.9% | 23.3% | 38.3% | 32.1% | 24.1% | 31.1% | 2 | 27.1% |
Decided not to vote for him | 73.5% | 70.4% | 57.3% | 57.1% | 67.1% | 57.6% | 2 | 65.0% |
Don't know/Refused | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 3 | 8.0% |
Missing | 84 | 196 | 141 | 182 | 140 | 114 | 873 | 9 |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Age (I-AGE)
18-24 | 25-34 | 35-44 | 45-54 | 55-64 | 65+ | Missing | Total | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chance might vote for him | 47.3% | 41.8% | 23.1% | 26.0% | 17.0% | 17.9% | 0 | 27.5% |
Decided not to vote for him | 41.2% | 53.8% | 71.9% | 64.5% | 73.4% | 73.7% | 6 | 64.7% |
Don't know/Refused | 11.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 5 | 7.8% |
Missing | 87 | 154 | 151 | 175 | 122 | 168 | 877 | 9 |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Education (I-EDUC)
Less than high school | High school graduate | Some college | College+ | Missing | Total | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chance might vote for him | 25.1% | 28.4% | 28.1% | 25.8% | 0 | 27.3% |
Decided not to vote for him | 61.5% | 62.6% | 65.3% | 69.4% | 0 | 64.8% |
Don't know/Refused | 13.4% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3 | 7.9% |
Missing | 94 | 262 | 196 | 313 | 869 | 1 |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Household income (I-INCOME)
Less than $20,000 | $20,000 to under $30,000 | $30,000 to under $50,000 | $50,000 to under $75,000 | $75,000 to under $100,000 | $100,000 or more | Missing | Total | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chance might vote for him | 32.1% | 27.3% | 32.5% | 24.9% | 23.8% | 22.2% | 25 | 28.1% |
Decided not to vote for him | 53.1% | 71.0% | 61.6% | 68.4% | 70.9% | 72.2% | 72 | 64.8% |
Don't know/Refused | 14.9% | 1.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 16 | 7.1% |
Missing | 162 | 123 | 154 | 127 | 86 | 112 | 979 | 102 |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Race (I-RACE)
White, not Hispanic | Black, not Hispanic | Hispanic/Other | Missing | Total | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chance might vote for him | 24.5% | 43.8% | 43.1% | 1 | 27.2% |
Decided not to vote for him | 68.0% | 45.8% | 46.6% | 0 | 64.9% |
Don't know/Refused | 7.5% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 3 | 7.9% |
Missing | 575 | 152 | 134 | 870 | 5 |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% |